Here is a summary of the news on economic performance and inflation from around the world today.
Here is a summary of the news on economic performance and inflation from around the world today.
1. UK
- After hitting a 41-year high in October, inflation fell more than expected in November
- Inflation dropped to 10.7% last month from 11.1% in October, according to the ONS
- Economists had previously predicted a 10.9% fall
- The Bank of England’s target rate is still only 2%
- Interest rates stand at 3% but Reuters notes that economists predict a possibly rise on Thursday to 3.5%
2. Eurozone
- Consumer prices in 19 countries sharing the euro grew by 10% in November, below the expected 10.4%
- The European Central Bank (ECB) expects inflation to remain above the 2% target for the next three years
- The ECB is also predicted to raise interests rates on Thursday for a fourth consecutive time
- Economists for Reuters expect the ECB to raise its deposit rate by 50 basis points to 2% on Thursday, then 2.5% in March 2023 and 2.75% by mid 2023
3. Russia
- Russia’s economy shrank 3.7% year-on-year in Q3 of 2022
- This is slightly better than the previously reported 4%
- After growing 3.5% in Q1, the Russian economy has tipped into recession with 4.1% and 3.7% contractions in Q2 and Q3 respectively
- Russia’s economy ministry forecasts GDP to fall 2.9% overall in 2022.
- The economic shrink is attributed to Russia’s ongoing war with Ukraine, Western sanctions and a drained workforce
4. Asia
- South Korea’s consumer inflation slowed for a second month in September
- The CPI in South Korea rose 5.6% in September from the same month a year ago, below the forecast of 5.7%
- Economists said the latest data suggests inflation was at or past its peak but the central bank is expected to stick to its current stance due to a weak won and aggressive US monetary policy
- The Asian Development Bank lowered its economic growth forecasts for the region, predicting 4.2%, down from a 4.3% prediction in September
- The ADB lowered its 2022 growth forecast for China to 3% down from 3.3%
- In today’s final hour of trade, the Hang Seng index rose 0.6%, the Shenzhen Component fell 0.2% and the Shanghai Composite was down 0.1%
- In Japan, the Nikkei 225 gained 0.72% and the yen slightly strengthened to 135.38 against the dollar
- In India, the annual retail inflation rose 5.88% in November, below 6% for the first time this year
5. The US
- US consumer prices rose less than expected for a second month despite the decrease in fuel costs in November
- The CPI increased 0.1% in November after a 0.4% rise in October, below the Reuters economist forecast of 0.3%
- The US subsequently saw the smallest annual increase in inflation in nearly a year
- The Federal Reserve is expected to lift its benchmark overnight interest rate by 50 basis points, in a consecutive straight 75-basis-point increases
- Gasoline prices dropped 2% but food prices rose 0.5%
- In the 12 months through to November, CPI has overall climbed 7.1%, peaking at 9.1% in June
- Inflation remains above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target
(Sources: Reuters, CNBC)