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Inflation and Economic Performance Around the World Today

Image credit: John McArthur

By Minipip
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Here is a summary of the news on economic performance and inflation from around the world today.

Here is a summary of the news on economic performance and inflation from around the world today.

1. UK

  • After hitting a 41-year high in October, inflation fell more than expected in November
  • Inflation dropped to 10.7% last month from 11.1% in October, according to the ONS
  • Economists had previously predicted a 10.9% fall
  • The Bank of England’s target rate is still only 2%
  • Interest rates stand at 3% but Reuters notes that economists predict a possibly rise on Thursday to 3.5%

2. Eurozone

  • Consumer prices in 19 countries sharing the euro grew by 10% in November, below the expected 10.4%
  • The European Central Bank (ECB) expects inflation to remain above the 2% target for the next three years
  • The ECB is also predicted to raise interests rates on Thursday for a fourth consecutive time 
  • Economists for Reuters expect the ECB to raise its deposit rate by 50 basis points to 2% on Thursday, then 2.5% in March 2023 and 2.75% by mid 2023

3. Russia

  • Russia’s economy shrank 3.7% year-on-year in Q3 of 2022
  • This is slightly better than the previously reported 4%
  • After growing 3.5% in Q1, the Russian economy has tipped into recession with 4.1% and 3.7% contractions in Q2 and Q3 respectively
  • Russia’s economy ministry forecasts GDP to fall 2.9% overall in 2022.
  • The economic shrink is attributed to Russia’s ongoing war with Ukraine, Western sanctions and a drained workforce 

4. Asia

  • South Korea’s consumer inflation slowed for a second month in September
  • The CPI in South Korea rose 5.6% in September from the same month a year ago, below the forecast of 5.7%
  • Economists said the latest data suggests inflation was at or past its peak but the central bank is expected to stick to its current stance due to a weak won and aggressive US monetary policy
  • The Asian Development Bank lowered its economic growth forecasts for the region, predicting 4.2%, down from a 4.3% prediction in September 
  • The ADB lowered its 2022 growth forecast for China to 3% down from 3.3%
  • In today’s final hour of trade, the Hang Seng index rose 0.6%, the Shenzhen Component fell 0.2% and the Shanghai Composite was down 0.1%
  • In Japan, the Nikkei 225 gained 0.72% and the yen slightly strengthened to 135.38 against the dollar
  • In India, the annual retail inflation rose 5.88% in November, below 6% for the first time this year

5. The US

  • US consumer prices rose less than expected for a second month despite the decrease in fuel costs in November
  • The CPI increased 0.1% in November after a 0.4% rise in October, below the Reuters economist forecast of 0.3%
  • The US subsequently saw the smallest annual increase in inflation in nearly a year
  • The Federal Reserve is expected to lift its benchmark overnight interest rate by 50 basis points, in a consecutive straight 75-basis-point increases
  • Gasoline prices dropped 2% but food prices rose 0.5%
  • In the 12 months through to November, CPI has overall climbed 7.1%, peaking at 9.1% in June
  • Inflation remains above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target


(Sources: Reuters, CNBC)


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