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Thursday's Trading Session - 29th September

By Minipip
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North American GDP readings and Nike earnings - things that can steer investors in the right direction.

In Wednesday’s session tech stocks rallied as traders put the losses behind them, even with the worries about global growth slowing. On various occasions this week the Federal reserve has made it pretty obvious that they intend to keep interest rates higher for a longer period than initially planned, all in order to ease inflation.

Jerome Powell has informed the public about steering the economy towards a ‘soft landing’, which ultimately means easing inflation without a recession and big job losses. However, others reckon that in fact a ‘hard landing’ is more likely to occur by the end of next year.

Nevertheless, here are 3 things that may steer investors in the right direction for Thursday’s trading session:

  1. GDP reading (US)
  • At 13:30 (8:30 US), another reading for Q2 of GDP is due to be released. Experts are estimating that the results will show that the economy contracted 0.6% from Q1.
  1. Canada’s GDP MoM
  • Also, today at 13:30 (8:30 Canada), another reading for July for the Canadian GDP is to come out. With market analysts forecasting -0.1% to the previous month of 0.1%.    
  1. Nike earnings
  • The biggest sportswear brand Nike, which in the previous quarters has had supply chain and production issues in China, will report on their earnings. Analysts are expecting EPS of 92 cents on revenue of $12.3 billion.

The VIX, or the Volatility Index, is a financial index that measures the market’s expectation of volatility over the next 30 days. It was created by the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) as an indicator for investors to gauge fear and uncertainty in the stock market. The VIX provides an indication of investor sentiment and can be used as a measure of how much risk is present in the stock and options markets. A higher VIX indicates more fear and uncertainty and vice versa. The index is calculated using a combination of both put and call options on S&P 500 stocks, which are then compared to their historical levels. The VIX typically moves opposite to equity prices; when equity prices fall, the VIX usually rises, and vice versa. As the stock market becomes more volatile, investors may use the VIX as a way to protect their investments or speculate on future movements in the equity markets. The VIX can also be used to understand investor sentiment and how it affects financial markets.

 

It is important to note that the VIX is not an investment itself; rather, it is a tool for investors to gain insight into market conditions and make more informed decisions about their investments. Additionally, the VIX cannot predict stock prices; instead, it can help investors better gauge volatility and risk by providing them with an understanding of current market sentiment. Ultimately, the VIX can be a helpful indicator for those looking to make smart investment decisions in uncertain times.

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